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Twelve Senior Classes Under Jerry Weast Equals 16,800 Dropouts

If we add up the dropouts across multiple senior high school classes the numbers quickly sum to totals that are pretty shocking.

According to "Education Week," the Montgomery County Public Schools have the highest graduation rate among the nation’s largest school districts. Click here to read the wonderful news.

I’m a realist and see both sides of everything. So, if 86 percent of MCPS high schoolers graduate from a typical class, then 14 percent dropped out, right?  (Note: "Education Week" calculated its 86 percent graduation rate for the MCPS senior class of 2008. One can read more about the publication's "Diplomas Count" project by clicking here.)

Fourteen percent is a lot of students. A typical MCPS class or cohort is roughly 10,000 students. Fourteen percent equals 1,400 dropouts—which is a lot of students to lose along the way to their high school graduations.

Let’s provide a little perspective.

Damascus High, Northwood High, Rockville High, and Seneca Valley High each enroll approximately 1,400 students. Click here to check enrollments

Now, could any of us ever imagine Rockville High School not graduating any of its students for four straight years? Would we tolerate Rockville shutting down for an entire school year? Closing its doors on its 1,400 students?  Of course not! And yet, that small 14 percent represents a building full of kids.

Fourteen hundred dropouts from a single class or cohort of MCPS kids is a lot of wasted futures. And if we add up the dropouts across multiple classes the numbers quickly sum to totals that are pretty shocking. Twelve senior classes under Superintendent Jerry Weast equals 16,800 dropouts.

So after celebrating the 86 percent—it is worth celebrating—is there anyone asking questions about what happened to the 14 percent that didn’t graduate? Where the heck do 1,400 students disappear to? I hope someone is asking questions. And I hope I’m not the only one alarmed by the raw number of dropouts.

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Dana Tofig June 15, 2011 at 10:19 pm
Mr. Hawkins,
For a statistician who works for a distinguished organization like Westat, I’m surprised you would make such a rookie mistake when it comes to graduation rate. As you pointed out, Education Week calculated MCPS’ graduation rate at 86 percent. However, as you are aware, the remaining 14 percent of the students are NOT all dropouts. Some are students who took longer than four years to graduate. Some are special educatio students who did not meet all the grad requirements, but met the expectations in their IEP. Yes, some are dropouts and it is an issue that MCPS—and all school districts—continue to work on. Our Grade 9-12 dropout rate for the past 12 years has been about 2 percent—some years it is higher and some years it is lower, but on average, it is right around 2 percent. This has held steady even as the enrollment in our high schools has grown and changed dramatically. MCPS has programs and supports in place to help prevent students from dropping out and there are options for students who have dropped out to get their diploma. Dr. Weast would be the first one to tell you that we still have work to do to ensure ALL of our students are engaged in meaningful work that prepares them for college and the work place. But, clearly, MCPS is having more success in this area than most districts in the nation. As someone who calls for transparency in data, I thought your data could use a little transparency, too. Dana Tofig, MCPS
Theresa Defino June 16, 2011 at 01:17 am
Mr. Hawkins, thank you for this column. Perhaps you made an assumption, but I wouldn't insult you by calling it a "rookie mistake" and accusing you of not being transparent (these aren't your numbers so how could you be transparent about MCSP data? Hmmm!).
So, Dana, please provide specific percentages that address each category of student, so that we can see exactly what happened to the 12% that you say are not dropouts. For example, how many graduated after five years or longer? How many "met the expectations of their IEP" but did not graduate? I don't think MCPS' special ed population is 12%. Also, some children with IEPs, expect, and DO graduate. I'd like to point out that for thousands of MCPS students who had the good fortune of attending Thomas Edison High School of Technology throughout the years, including my son (who is not special ed), graduation is an achievable goal. Funny that Dr. Weast would try to downsize into oblivion the one school in the entire county that exists solely to provide an alternative to the all-classroom school day. And before the judgment is made: yes, my son is going to college.
Lyda Astrove June 16, 2011 at 04:37 pm
Oops, a "rookie mistake" from the Public Information Office at MCPS. Some special education students do graudate with regular diplomas. Other special education students graduate with what is called a "certificate of attendance" at the end of the school year in which they turn 21. This "certificate" does not, repeat, NOT certify that they have met their IEP goals. Rather, it is exactly what it says: a certificate of attendance. If a student "ages out" with a certifiate of attendance, they are counted as having "completed" their education, and thus are not "drop-outs."
If, on the other hand, a special education student leaves school BEFORE THE END OF THE SCHOOL YEAR IN WHICH THEY TURN 21 with only a certificate of attendance, they ARE considered by MSDE to be drop outs. Unfortunately, this happens more often than MCPS would like to admit. For example, remember when MCPS claimed they didn't know what happened to a certain percentage of Mark Twain students? L
Joseph Hawkins June 16, 2011 at 05:55 pm
In reality, I don't know how many dropouts there are. I would bet my life, however, that it is a very LARGE number--north of 10,000 kids over the tenure of Superintendent Weast. I also would bet that the dropouts are mostly kids of color, with many either poor or special education. And these are kids that do not end up in college or gainfully employed. But instead of debating what we know or do not know, I offer the following challenge: hire an impartial outside researcher (via a completive and open bid process) and give them the job of figuring all this out. I believe the last time MCPS officially study dropouts was back in the early 1990's. Isn't it time to update the science of what we really know about MCPS dropouts?
Joseph Hawkins
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Brigitta Mullican June 2, 2013 at 11:58 pm
Twinbrook Swimming Pool (TSP) can hold three public open house days to introduce the pool toRead More perspective members. This year the dates are June 8, July 13 and August 10. The cost is $5 per person. The TSP has a big insurance policy to cover swimmers. Not sure free is appropriate. As a private membership pool, there are regulations that must be followed.
damian starr June 7, 2013 at 11:46 pm
Does either county or city pool offer free trial periods? I don't think so.
Brigitta Mullican June 7, 2013 at 11:51 pm
If you swim on the 3 open public swim days at the Twinbrook Swimming Pool, you can consider it aRead More trial. Liability insurance does cost money. Entrance of $5 is a real bargain. Members pay to maintain the pool.
Deborah Durham May 14, 2013 at 01:11 pm
I am so sorry this happened to your girls! There is no excuse for the theater personnel notRead More helping. I hope you get an apology from management. Perhaps the city police should have an officer in the area after the last movie.
Joe Shono May 14, 2013 at 08:09 pm
Yaaaay! Lets put it on the police again. Good thinking the Deb. How about Kate gets her daughter aRead More chaperone. Ask 2 people and then a movie theatre employee and then walk home? That story sounds really fishy. I don't believe the world is in as bad a shape as Kate purports.
Theresa Defino May 14, 2013 at 08:55 pm
I think more facts are necessary here. When you didn't hear from them you didn't go to theater toRead More find them? It is hard to know where blame lies here, not knowing how old these girls are. It sounds like your daughter and god daughter don't have their own phones? No matter my children's age, I make it a point to know the running times of the movies they're at, especially if I am the one who is going to be picking them up. We warn children--especially girls and young women--not to go to strangers for help. We know that of the three girls, the man kidnapped one who was his daughter's friend after giving her a lift.